← Back to matches

South Korea · K League 2 · K-League 2

17 May 2026 07:30 UTC

HWASEONG FC vs BUSAN I'PARK

Final 3:2

Hwaseong FC won Last goal: Hwaseong FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jae-Min Jegal — Hwaseong FC
  2. ⚽ Jae-Min Jegal — Hwaseong FC
  3. ⚽ Gabriel Ramos — Busan I'Park
  4. ⚽ Cristian Renato — Busan I'Park

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Sava Petrov — Hwaseong FC

Model predictions were

Nice call
39%
1X2
Hwaseong FC
Result: Hwaseong FC
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
70%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
70%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
12%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 61 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 280 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 233 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
63 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
132 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
180 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
114 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
181 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
212 predictions

Match overview

Related matches

Finished
17 May 07:30 UTC
Gimhae FC 2008 vs Daegu FC
1X2 Away
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Over 4.5 Over
Score 1:4
Almanac Moment
17 May 07:30 UTC
Seongnam FC vs Gyeongnam FC
1X2 Draw
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 1:1
Finished
17 May 10:00 UTC
Chungnam Asan FC vs Suwon FC
1X2 Away
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Over 4.5 Under
Score 1:3
Almanac Moment
16 May 10:00 UTC
Cheonan City vs Paju Frontier
1X2 Draw
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Under 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 0:0
Finished
16 May 10:00 UTC
Ansan Greeners vs Gimpo FC
1X2 Away
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Under 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 0:1
Finished
16 May 07:30 UTC
Jeonnam Dragons vs Cheongju FC
1X2 Draw
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Over 4.5 Under
Score 2:2
Finished
16 May 07:30 UTC
Seoul E-Land FC vs Yongin FC
1X2 Draw
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Over 4.5 Under
Score 2:2
Finished
23 May 07:30 UTC
Jeonnam Dragons vs Gimhae FC 2008
1X2 Away
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Under 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 0:1