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South Korea · K3 League

23 May 2026 05:00 UTC

SIHEUNG CITIZEN vs DANGJIN CITIZEN

Final 2:1

Siheung Citizen won Last goal: Dangjin Citizen

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Hong Kim (penalty) — Siheung Citizen
  2. Yu-Min Seo — Siheung Citizen
  3. Yeon-Joon Ryu — Dangjin Citizen

Model predictions were

As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
15%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 30 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 219 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 172 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 34 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
135 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
75 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
138 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
81 predictions
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
132 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
159 predictions

Match overview