← Back to matches

Spain · Primera Division RFEF · Primera Federacion - Group 1

23 May 2026 16:30 UTC

PONTEVEDRA vs REAL AVILES CF

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Pontevedra

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kevin Bautista — Real Aviles CF

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Varo — Real Aviles CF
  2. ⚽ Álex Comparada — Pontevedra
  3. ⚽ Alain Ribeiro — Pontevedra
  4. 🟥 Oscar Menendez (straight red) — Real Aviles CF

Model predictions were

As expected
39%
1X2
Pontevedra
Result: Draw
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 48% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 77 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 750 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 726 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 71 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 36% (Weak)
505 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
374 predictions
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
501 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
285 predictions
Total 3.5 27% (Weak)
124 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
675 predictions

Match overview

Related matches

Finished
23 May 16:30 UTC
Lugo vs CD Arenteiro
1X2 Draw
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Under 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 0:0
Finished
23 May 16:30 UTC
Cacereno vs CF Talavera de la Reina
1X2 Away
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 1:2
Finished
23 May 16:30 UTC
Antequera vs Juventud Torremolinos CF
1X2 Home
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Over 4.5 Under
Score 3:1
Finished
23 May 16:30 UTC
Ponferradina vs Athletic Bilbao B
1X2 Home
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Under 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 1:0
Finished
23 May 16:30 UTC
Arenas Getxo vs Zamora
1X2 Home
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Under 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 1:0
Finished
23 May 16:30 UTC
Atletico Sanluqueno CF vs Villarreal B
1X2 Draw
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 1:1
Finished
23 May 16:30 UTC
Osasuna B vs Merida
1X2 Away
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 1:2
Finished
23 May 16:30 UTC
Guadalajara vs Real Madrid Castilla
1X2 Draw
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Over 4.5 Under
Score 2:2