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Chile · Primera B

24 May 2026 19:00 UTC

PUERTO MONTT vs SAN MARCOS

Final 0:2

San Marcos won Last goal: San Marcos

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Boris Sagredo — San Marcos
  2. Nahuel Donadell Alvarez — San Marcos

Model predictions were

Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 19% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 32 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 254 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 215 completed matches.

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 38 past matches

1X2 18% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 34% (Weak)
151 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
104 predictions
Total 1.5 25% (Weak)
59 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
118 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
167 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
197 predictions

Match overview