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Chile · Primera B

21 May 2026 19:00 UTC

DEPORTES RECOLETA vs COBRELOA

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Cobreloa

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Germán Estigarribia — Deportes Recoleta
  2. Gustavo Gotti — Cobreloa

2nd half

  1. Pedro Sánchez — Deportes Recoleta
  2. Cristian Insaurralde — Cobreloa

Model predictions were

Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
3:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 22% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 63 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 251 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 212 completed matches.

1X2 22% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 22% (Weak)
63 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
108 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
153 predictions
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
94 predictions
Total 3.5 17% (Weak)
47 predictions
Total 4.5 6% (Weak)
17 predictions

Match overview