← Back to matches

Chile · Primera B

25 May 2026 00:00 UTC

SAN LUIS vs MAGALLANES

Final 2:1

San Luis won Last goal: San Luis

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Facundo Peraza — Magallanes
  2. ⚽ Sebastian Parada (penalty) — San Luis

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Carlos Gael Acosta — San Luis

Model predictions were

As expected
37%
1X2
Magallanes
Result: San Luis
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 27% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 15 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 257 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 218 completed matches.

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 48 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 34% (Weak)
153 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
111 predictions
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
157 predictions
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
97 predictions
Total 3.5 19% (Weak)
48 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
200 predictions

Match overview

Related matches

Finished
24 May 19:00 UTC
Puerto Montt vs San Marcos
1X2 Away
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 0:2
Finished
24 May 16:30 UTC
Antofagasta vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1X2 Draw
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 1:1
Finished
26 May 00:00 UTC
Deportes Copiapo vs Union Espanola
1X2 Home
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Over 4.5 Under
Score 3:1
Finished
24 May 00:00 UTC
Deportes Temuco vs Union San Felipe
1X2 Home
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Over 4.5 Over
Score 5:0
Finished
23 May 21:30 UTC
Deportes Iquique vs Curico Unido
1X2 Draw
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 1:1
Finished
23 May 00:00 UTC
Rangers vs Santiago Wanderers
1X2 Away
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 0:2
Finished
21 May 19:00 UTC
Deportes Recoleta vs Cobreloa
1X2 Draw
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Over 4.5 Under
Score 2:2
Finished
30 May 16:30 UTC
Deportes Recoleta vs San Luis
1X2 Draw
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Under 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 0:0