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Italy · Serie C · Serie C Promotion Playoff

24 May 2026 18:00 UTC

ASCOLI CALCIO 1898 FC vs CATANIA

Final 4:0

Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC won Last goal: Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Giovanni Corradini — Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Abdoul Guiébré — Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC
  2. ⚽ Gabriele Gori — Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC
  3. ⚽ Tommaso Milanese — Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC

Model predictions were

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
Result: Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 345 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,143 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1125 completed matches.

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 77 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 29% (Weak)
345 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
539 predictions
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
323 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
698 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
947 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
1055 predictions

Match overview

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Over/Under
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Catania vs Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC
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Over/Under
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1.5 Over 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
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Catania vs Lecco
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Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Over 4.5 Over
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Union Brescia vs Casarano
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Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Under 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 0:0
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Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC vs Potenza
1X2 Home
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Under 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 1:0
Finished
17 May 18:45 UTC
Lecco vs Catania
1X2 Draw
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Under 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 0:0