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Italy · Serie C · Serie C Promotion Playoff

27 May 2026 18:00 UTC

UNION BRESCIA vs SALERNITANA

Final 2:0 Almanac Moment

Union Brescia won Last goal: Union Brescia

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Valerio Crespi — Union Brescia

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Manuel Marras — Union Brescia

Model predictions were

Nice call
39%
1X2
Union Brescia
Result: Union Brescia
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
11%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 42% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 151 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,145 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1127 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 80 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
781 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
540 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
803 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
699 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
949 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
1057 predictions

Match overview

Related matches

Finished
27 May 19:00 UTC
Catania vs Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC
1X2 Home
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 2:1
Finished
24 May 19:00 UTC
Salernitana vs Union Brescia
1X2 Draw
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 1:1
Finished
24 May 18:00 UTC
Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC vs Catania
1X2 Home
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Over 4.5 Under
Score 4:0
Finished
03 Jun 17:00 UTC
Union Brescia vs Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC
1X2 Draw
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 1:1
Finished
20 May 18:45 UTC
Ravenna vs Salernitana
1X2 Away
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 0:2
Finished
20 May 18:30 UTC
Catania vs Lecco
1X2 Draw
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Over 4.5 Over
Score 3:3
Finished
20 May 18:00 UTC
Union Brescia vs Casarano
1X2 Draw
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Under 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 0:0
Finished
20 May 18:00 UTC
Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC vs Potenza
1X2 Home
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Under 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 1:0