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International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies

06 Jun 2026 13:00 UTC

BELGIUM vs TUNISIA

Final 5:0

Belgium won Last goal: Belgium

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Leandro Trossard — Belgium

2nd half

⚽ Charles De Ketelaere — Belgium
🟥 Ismaël Gharbi (2nd yellow) — Tunisia
⚽ Kevin De Bruyne — Belgium
⚽ Dodi Lukébakio — Belgium
⚽ Nicolas Raskin — Belgium

Model predictions were

44%

1X2

Belgium

Result: Belgium

41%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No

82%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

45%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

64%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over

81%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over

33%

Score

2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 55% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 66 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 349 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 274 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

Total 1.5 58% (Good)

Total 2.5 48% (Average)

Total 3.5 60% (Good)

Total 4.5 77% (Strong)

Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 9 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 56% (Good)

Both teams to score 44% (Weak)

Total 1.5 56% (Good)

Total 2.5 56% (Good)

Total 3.5 78% (Strong)

Total 4.5 78% (Strong)

Score 33% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)

209 predictions

Both teams to score 42% (Weak)

145 predictions

Total 1.5 69% (Strong)

217 predictions

Total 2.5 46% (Average)

134 predictions

Total 3.5 68% (Strong)

214 predictions

Total 4.5 84% (Strong)

249 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Belgium vs Tunisia. The match ended 5-0 in International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies. Pre-match projections pointed to Belgium with a weak indicator at 43.6%.

The outcome aligned with the model’s expectation. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 77.4% of matches across a sample of 274 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 44.4% in a sample of 9 team involvements.

Market-level signals were partially accurate across the main goal-related markets. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (82.1%) came in as a high-confidence indicator and aligned with the result. Over 2.5 goals (45.4%) was confirmed by the match, both teams to score (41.1%) fell short of the result.

The model output remains a useful reference when combined with match context. Used with league and team context, this post-match review supports clearer decision-making for upcoming fixtures.

BELGIUM vs TUNISIA

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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