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International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies

06 Jun 2026 15:00 UTC

ESTONIA vs FAROE ISLANDS

Final 1:0

Estonia won Last goal: Estonia

Match timeline

2nd half

⚽ Tony Varjund — Estonia

Model predictions were

35%

1X2

Draw

Result: Estonia

41%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No

82%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under

45%

Total 2.5

Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under

64%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

81%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

20%

Score

1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 28% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 65 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 349 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 274 completed matches.

1X2 28% (Weak)

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

Total 1.5 58% (Good)

Total 2.5 48% (Average)

Total 3.5 60% (Good)

Total 4.5 77% (Strong)

Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 5 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 20% (Weak)

Both teams to score 60% (Good)

Total 1.5 80% (Strong)

Total 2.5 40% (Weak)

Total 3.5 60% (Good)

Total 4.5 60% (Good)

Score 20% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 28% (Weak)

65 predictions

Both teams to score 42% (Weak)

145 predictions

Total 1.5 69% (Strong)

217 predictions

Total 2.5 50% (Average)

140 predictions

Total 3.5 68% (Strong)

214 predictions

Total 4.5 84% (Strong)

249 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Estonia vs Faroe Islands. The match ended 1-0 in International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies. The model leaned toward Draw with a marginal edge (35.2%).

The main outcome missed, but several market signals were accurate. Market-level signals were partially accurate across the main goal-related markets. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (82.1%) came in as a high-confidence indicator and fell short of the result.

Over 2.5 goals (45.4%) appeared as a marginal edge and held up in the final outcome. Both teams to score (41.1%) did not match the outcome. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 77.4% of matches across a sample of 274 games.

Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 60% in a sample of 5 team involvements. Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. This prediction analysis remains most effective when result context, market outcomes, and team tendencies are read together.

ESTONIA vs FAROE ISLANDS

Match timeline

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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