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Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura

19 Apr 2026 13:00 UTC

CERRO vs MONTEVIDEO CITY TORQUE

Final 1:1

Draw

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Alejo Macelli — Cerro
  2. ⚽ Esteban Obregon — Montevideo City Torque

Model predictions were

As expected
37%
1X2
Cerro
Result: Draw
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 20 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 256 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 206 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 50 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
141 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
112 predictions
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
126 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
133 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
183 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
201 predictions

Match overview

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Over/Under
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