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Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura

24 Apr 2026 22:30 UTC

MONTEVIDEO CITY TORQUE vs BOSTON RIVER

Final 4:1

Montevideo City Torque won Last goal: Montevideo City Torque

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Franco Pizzichillo — Montevideo City Torque
⚽ Franco Pizzichillo — Montevideo City Torque

2nd half

⚽ Gonzalo Montes — Montevideo City Torque
⚽ Franco Perez — Boston River
⚽ Luka Andrade — Montevideo City Torque

Model predictions were

37%

1X2

Montevideo City Torque

Result: Montevideo City Torque

48%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

70%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

37%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

73%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over

89%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over

Score

2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 62 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 259 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 209 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)

Both teams to score 52% (Average)

Total 1.5 54% (Average)

Total 2.5 49% (Average)

Total 3.5 73% (Strong)

Total 4.5 92% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 53 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)

Both teams to score 51% (Average)

Total 1.5 60% (Good)

Total 2.5 49% (Average)

Total 3.5 64% (Good)

Total 4.5 89% (Strong)

Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)

142 predictions

Both teams to score 46% (Average)

94 predictions

Total 1.5 65% (Strong)

127 predictions

Total 2.5 38% (Weak)

73 predictions

Total 3.5 79% (Strong)

186 predictions

Total 4.5 94% (Strong)

204 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Montevideo City Torque vs Boston River. The match ended 4-1 in Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura. The model leaned toward Montevideo City Torque with a weak indicator (36.6%).

The outcome aligned with the model’s expectation. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 91.9% of matches across a sample of 209 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 50.9% in a sample of 53 team involvements.

Market-level signals were consistent and accurate across the settled lines. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (70.1%) was identified as a clear statistical edge and held up in the final outcome. Over 2.5 goals (37.2%) was identified as a weak indicator and was correctly identified.

Both teams to score (48.2%) aligned with the result. Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. This prediction analysis remains most effective when result context, market outcomes, and team tendencies are read together.

MONTEVIDEO CITY TORQUE vs BOSTON RIVER

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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