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25 Apr 2026 16:30 UTC

DEPORTES COPIAPO vs SAN MARCOS

Final 0:3

San Marcos won Last goal: San Marcos

Match timeline

1st half

🟥 Marcelo Filla (straight red) — Deportes Copiapo

2nd half

⚽ Yerko Aguila — San Marcos
⚽ Camilo Melivilu — San Marcos
⚽ Agustín Maidana — San Marcos

Model predictions were

37%

1X2

Deportes Copiapo

Result: San Marcos

48%

Both teams to score

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No

74%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

37%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

67%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

86%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 15 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 221 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 183 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)

Both teams to score 50% (Average)

Total 1.5 61% (Good)

Total 2.5 44% (Weak)

Total 3.5 57% (Good)

Total 4.5 79% (Strong)

Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 44 past matches

1X2 25% (Weak)

Both teams to score 48% (Average)

Total 1.5 55% (Average)

Total 2.5 45% (Average)

Total 3.5 61% (Good)

Total 4.5 82% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)

127 predictions

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

86 predictions

Total 1.5 75% (Strong)

131 predictions

Total 2.5 39% (Weak)

83 predictions

Total 3.5 71% (Strong)

140 predictions

Total 4.5 86% (Strong)

168 predictions

Match overview

Final result breakdown for Deportes Copiapo vs San Marcos. The match ended 0-3 in Chile · Primera B. Pre-match projections pointed to Deportes Copiapo with a marginal edge at 36.6%.

The main outcome missed, but several market signals were accurate. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 78.7% of matches across a sample of 183 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 47.7% in a sample of 44 team involvements.

Market-level signals were consistent and accurate across the settled lines. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (74.4%) came in as a clear statistical edge and was confirmed by the match. Over 2.5 goals (37.2%) came in as a weak indicator and aligned with the result.

Both teams to score (48.2%) held up in the final outcome. Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. Used with league and team context, this post-match review supports clearer decision-making for upcoming fixtures.