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26 Apr 2026 19:00 UTC

COBRELOA vs SAN LUIS

Final 3:1

Cobreloa won Last goal: Cobreloa

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Sebastian Zuniga (penalty) — Cobreloa
⚽ Diego Gonzalez — San Luis
⚽ Gustavo Gotti — Cobreloa

2nd half

🟥 Franco Cortes (straight red) — San Luis
⚽ Matias Sandoval — Cobreloa

Model predictions were

37%

1X2

San Luis

Result: Cobreloa

54%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

74%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

37%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

71%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over

86%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 19% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 26 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 223 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 185 completed matches.

1X2 34% (Weak)

Both teams to score 50% (Average)

Total 1.5 61% (Good)

Total 2.5 44% (Weak)

Total 3.5 57% (Good)

Total 4.5 78% (Strong)

Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 45 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)

Both teams to score 53% (Average)

Total 1.5 62% (Good)

Total 2.5 40% (Weak)

Total 3.5 62% (Good)

Total 4.5 80% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 34% (Weak)

129 predictions

Both teams to score 50% (Average)

98 predictions

Total 1.5 74% (Strong)

133 predictions

Total 2.5 39% (Weak)

85 predictions

Total 3.5 71% (Strong)

141 predictions

Total 4.5 86% (Strong)

169 predictions

Match overview

Detailed match analysis for Cobreloa vs San Luis after full time. The match ended 3-1 in Chile · Primera B. The model leaned toward San Luis with a low-confidence projection (36.8%).

The main outcome missed, but several market signals were accurate. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 78.4% of matches across a sample of 185 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 53.3% in a sample of 45 team involvements.

Across settled lines, market signals aligned strongly with the final outcome. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (74.4%) appeared as a strong signal and held up in the final outcome. Over 2.5 goals (37.2%) was identified as a low-confidence signal and was correctly identified.

Both teams to score (53.6%) was confirmed by the match. Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

COBRELOA vs SAN LUIS

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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