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26 Apr 2026 16:30 UTC

DEPORTES RECOLETA vs ANTOFAGASTA

Final 0:2

Antofagasta won Last goal: Antofagasta

Match timeline

2nd half

⚽ Matias Gallegos — Antofagasta
⚽ Brayan Hurtado — Antofagasta

Model predictions were

37%

1X2

Antofagasta

Result: Antofagasta

48%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No

74%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

37%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under

67%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

86%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 19% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 26 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 223 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 185 completed matches.

1X2 34% (Weak)

Both teams to score 50% (Average)

Total 1.5 61% (Good)

Total 2.5 44% (Weak)

Total 3.5 57% (Good)

Total 4.5 78% (Strong)

Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 46 past matches

1X2 28% (Weak)

Both teams to score 43% (Weak)

Total 1.5 59% (Good)

Total 2.5 37% (Weak)

Total 3.5 50% (Average)

Total 4.5 74% (Strong)

Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 34% (Weak)

129 predictions

Both teams to score 50% (Average)

98 predictions

Total 1.5 74% (Strong)

133 predictions

Total 2.5 39% (Weak)

85 predictions

Total 3.5 71% (Strong)

141 predictions

Total 4.5 86% (Strong)

169 predictions

Match overview

Detailed match analysis for Deportes Recoleta vs Antofagasta after full time. The match ended 0-2 in Chile · Primera B. The model leaned toward Antofagasta with a low-confidence projection (36.8%).

The final result matched the model’s primary prediction. Several market indicators held up, while others were not confirmed by the match result. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (74.4%) was identified as a clear statistical edge and held up in the final outcome.

Over 2.5 goals (37.2%) was identified as a low-confidence signal and was not confirmed, both teams to score (48.2%) was not confirmed. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 78.4% of matches across a sample of 185 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 43.5% in a sample of 46 team involvements.

Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

DEPORTES RECOLETA vs ANTOFAGASTA

Match timeline

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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