← Back to matches

25 Apr 2026 16:30 UTC

UNION SAN FELIPE vs MAGALLANES

Final 0:1

Magallanes won Last goal: Magallanes

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Rubén Farfán — Magallanes

Model predictions were

37%

1X2

Union San Felipe

Result: Magallanes

54%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No

74%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under

37%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under

37%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under

37%

Total 4.5

Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under

Score

3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 39% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 49 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 221 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 183 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)

Both teams to score 50% (Average)

Total 1.5 61% (Good)

Total 2.5 44% (Weak)

Total 3.5 57% (Good)

Total 4.5 79% (Strong)

Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 44 past matches

1X2 27% (Weak)

Both teams to score 52% (Average)

Total 1.5 64% (Good)

Total 2.5 50% (Average)

Total 3.5 68% (Strong)

Total 4.5 82% (Strong)

Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)

127 predictions

Both teams to score 51% (Average)

97 predictions

Total 1.5 75% (Strong)

131 predictions

Total 2.5 39% (Weak)

83 predictions

Total 3.5 14% (Weak)

43 predictions

Total 4.5 0% (Weak)

15 predictions

Match overview

Detailed match analysis for Union San Felipe vs Magallanes after full time. The match ended 0-1 in Chile · Primera B. Pre-match projections pointed to Union San Felipe with a marginal edge at 36.6%.

The final result did not match the primary prediction. Market-level signals were less accurate than expected in this specific match profile. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (74.4%) came in as a high-confidence indicator and fell short of the result.

Over 2.5 goals (37.2%) appeared as a low-confidence signal and was not confirmed. Both teams to score (53.6%) did not match the outcome. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 78.7% of matches across a sample of 183 games.

Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 52.3% in a sample of 44 team involvements. Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

UNION SAN FELIPE vs MAGALLANES

Match timeline

1st half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

Related matches