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26 Apr 2026 15:00 UTC

MOSS vs LYN

Final 2:1

Moss won Last goal: Moss

Match timeline

2nd half

⚽ Andreas Hellum — Lyn
⚽ Oscar Aga — Moss
⚽ Julian Laegreid — Moss

Model predictions were

40%

1X2

Draw

Result: Moss

61%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

88%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

65%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

35%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under

77%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 25% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 32 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 205 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 160 completed matches.

1X2 25% (Weak)

Both teams to score 60% (Good)

Total 1.5 83% (Strong)

Total 2.5 56% (Good)

Total 3.5 54% (Average)

Total 4.5 64% (Good)

Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 38 past matches

1X2 45% (Weak)

Both teams to score 63% (Good)

Total 1.5 84% (Strong)

Total 2.5 53% (Average)

Total 3.5 45% (Weak)

Total 4.5 68% (Strong)

Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 25% (Weak)

32 predictions

Both teams to score 66% (Strong)

105 predictions

Total 1.5 91% (Strong)

139 predictions

Total 2.5 67% (Strong)

110 predictions

Total 3.5 43% (Weak)

68 predictions

Total 4.5 80% (Strong)

115 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Moss vs Lyn. The match ended 2-1 in Norway · 1. Division. The model leaned toward Draw with a marginal edge (40.2%).

While the winner prediction missed, other signals held up well. Market-level signals were consistent and accurate across the settled lines. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (88.2%) came in as a high-confidence indicator and was correctly identified.

Over 2.5 goals (65%) was identified as a moderate expectation and held up in the final outcome. Both teams to score (61.1%) aligned with the result. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 64.4% of matches across a sample of 160 games.

Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 63.2% in a sample of 38 team involvements. Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

MOSS vs LYN

Match timeline

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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