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27 Apr 2026 17:00 UTC

EGERSUND vs RANHEIM

Final 3:0

Egersund won Last goal: Egersund

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Oscar Forsmo Kapskarmo — Egersund
⚽ Scott Vatne — Egersund

2nd half

⚽ Nicolaj Tornvig — Egersund

Model predictions were

39%

1X2

Ranheim

Result: Egersund

48%

Both teams to score

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No

28%

Total 1.5

Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over

34%

Total 2.5

Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over

65%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

77%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 25 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 209 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 164 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)

Both teams to score 60% (Good)

Total 1.5 82% (Strong)

Total 2.5 55% (Good)

Total 3.5 54% (Average)

Total 4.5 65% (Good)

Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 37 past matches

1X2 49% (Average)

Both teams to score 54% (Average)

Total 1.5 76% (Strong)

Total 2.5 43% (Weak)

Total 3.5 57% (Good)

Total 4.5 62% (Good)

Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)

131 predictions

Both teams to score 47% (Average)

57 predictions

Total 1.5 23% (Weak)

22 predictions

Total 2.5 31% (Weak)

51 predictions

Total 3.5 63% (Good)

95 predictions

Total 4.5 80% (Strong)

119 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Egersund vs Ranheim. The match ended 3-0 in Norway · 1. Division. The model favored Ranheim with a weak indicator (39.3%).

While the winner prediction missed, other signals held up well. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 64.6% of matches across a sample of 164 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 54.1% in a sample of 37 team involvements.

Market-level signals were partially accurate across the main goal-related markets. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (27.6%) appeared as a marginal edge and was not confirmed. Over 2.5 goals (34.1%) fell short of the result, both teams to score (48.2%) held up in the final outcome.

Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

EGERSUND vs RANHEIM

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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