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26 Apr 2026 15:00 UTC

RAUFOSS vs HOEDD

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Raufoss

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Cameron Streete — Hoedd
⚽ Filip Da Silva — Raufoss

Model predictions were

51%

1X2

Hoedd

Result: Draw

54%

Both teams to score

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes

88%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

65%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under

65%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

77%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

0:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 60% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 10 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 205 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 160 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)

Both teams to score 60% (Good)

Total 1.5 83% (Strong)

Total 2.5 56% (Good)

Total 3.5 54% (Average)

Total 4.5 64% (Good)

Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 38 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)

Both teams to score 55% (Good)

Total 1.5 84% (Strong)

Total 2.5 55% (Good)

Total 3.5 61% (Good)

Total 4.5 61% (Good)

Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)

128 predictions

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

55 predictions

Total 1.5 91% (Strong)

139 predictions

Total 2.5 67% (Strong)

110 predictions

Total 3.5 63% (Good)

92 predictions

Total 4.5 80% (Strong)

115 predictions

Match overview

Detailed match analysis for Raufoss vs Hoedd after full time. The match ended 1-1 in Norway · 1. Division. The model favored Hoedd with a marginal edge (50.8%).

While the winner prediction missed, other signals held up well. Market-level signals were partially accurate across the main goal-related markets. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (88.2%) was identified as a clear statistical edge and aligned with the result.

Over 2.5 goals (65%) was not confirmed, both teams to score (53.6%) did not match the outcome. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 64.4% of matches across a sample of 160 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 55.3% in a sample of 38 team involvements.

Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. Used with league and team context, this post-match review supports clearer decision-making for upcoming fixtures.

RAUFOSS vs HOEDD

Match timeline

1st half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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