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01 May 2026 14:00 UTC

HOEDD vs AASANE

Final 1:0

Hoedd won Last goal: Hoedd

Match timeline

2nd half

⚽ Villum Dalsgaard — Hoedd
🟥 Leonardo Rossi (straight red) — Aasane

Model predictions were

51%

1X2

Hoedd

Result: Hoedd

54%

Both teams to score

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No

88%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under

34%

Total 2.5

Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under

65%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

77%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 73% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 15 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 210 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 165 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)

Both teams to score 60% (Good)

Total 1.5 82% (Strong)

Total 2.5 55% (Good)

Total 3.5 55% (Average)

Total 4.5 65% (Good)

Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 40 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)

Both teams to score 60% (Good)

Total 1.5 83% (Strong)

Total 2.5 53% (Average)

Total 3.5 50% (Average)

Total 4.5 58% (Good)

Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)

132 predictions

Both teams to score 48% (Average)

58 predictions

Total 1.5 92% (Strong)

142 predictions

Total 2.5 31% (Weak)

52 predictions

Total 3.5 64% (Good)

96 predictions

Total 4.5 80% (Strong)

120 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Hoedd vs Aasane. The match ended 1-0 in Norway · 1. Division. The model leaned toward Hoedd with a low-confidence projection (50.8%).

The final result matched the model’s primary prediction. Market-level signals were partially accurate across the main goal-related markets. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (88.2%) came in as a high-confidence indicator and fell short of the result.

Over 2.5 goals (34.1%) came in as a low-confidence signal and was confirmed by the match. Both teams to score (53.6%) held up in the final outcome. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 64.9% of matches across a sample of 165 games.

Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 60% in a sample of 40 team involvements. The model output remains a useful reference when combined with match context. This prediction analysis remains most effective when result context, market outcomes, and team tendencies are read together.

HOEDD vs AASANE

Match timeline

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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