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01 May 2026 14:00 UTC

KONGSVINGER vs EGERSUND

Final 2:1

Kongsvinger won Last goal: Egersund

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Andreas Dybevik — Kongsvinger

2nd half

⚽ Ludvig Langrekken — Kongsvinger
⚽ Isak Joensson — Egersund

Model predictions were

37%

1X2

Kongsvinger

Result: Kongsvinger

62%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

88%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

56%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

35%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under

25%

Total 4.5

Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under

Score

4:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 34 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 210 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 165 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)

Both teams to score 60% (Good)

Total 1.5 82% (Strong)

Total 2.5 55% (Good)

Total 3.5 55% (Average)

Total 4.5 65% (Good)

Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 40 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)

Both teams to score 48% (Average)

Total 1.5 68% (Strong)

Total 2.5 48% (Average)

Total 3.5 55% (Good)

Total 4.5 68% (Strong)

Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)

132 predictions

Both teams to score 66% (Strong)

107 predictions

Total 1.5 92% (Strong)

142 predictions

Total 2.5 66% (Strong)

113 predictions

Total 3.5 42% (Weak)

69 predictions

Total 4.5 24% (Weak)

45 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Kongsvinger vs Egersund. The match ended 2-1 in Norway · 1. Division. Pre-match projections pointed to Kongsvinger with a weak indicator at 36.6%.

The outcome aligned with the model’s expectation. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 64.9% of matches across a sample of 165 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 47.5% in a sample of 40 team involvements.

Across settled lines, market signals aligned strongly with the final outcome. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (88.2%) was identified as a clear statistical edge and aligned with the result. Over 2.5 goals (56.4%) appeared as a fairly even projection and was confirmed by the match.

Both teams to score (62.3%) was confirmed by the match. The model output remains a useful reference when combined with match context. Used with league and team context, this post-match review supports clearer decision-making for upcoming fixtures.

KONGSVINGER vs EGERSUND

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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