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01 May 2026 14:00 UTC

LYN vs STABAEK

Final 0:4

Stabaek won Last goal: Stabaek

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Magnus Lankhof-Dahlby (penalty) — Stabaek
⚽ Sebastian Olderheim — Stabaek
⚽ Jacob Hanstad — Stabaek

2nd half

⚽ Alagie Sanyang — Stabaek

Model predictions were

37%

1X2

Draw

Result: Stabaek

61%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No

88%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

34%

Total 2.5

Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over

65%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over

77%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

10%

Score

1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 24% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 33 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 210 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 165 completed matches.

1X2 24% (Weak)

Both teams to score 60% (Good)

Total 1.5 82% (Strong)

Total 2.5 55% (Good)

Total 3.5 55% (Average)

Total 4.5 65% (Good)

Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 40 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)

Both teams to score 58% (Good)

Total 1.5 90% (Strong)

Total 2.5 68% (Strong)

Total 3.5 60% (Good)

Total 4.5 68% (Strong)

Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 24% (Weak)

33 predictions

Both teams to score 66% (Strong)

107 predictions

Total 1.5 92% (Strong)

142 predictions

Total 2.5 31% (Weak)

52 predictions

Total 3.5 64% (Good)

96 predictions

Total 4.5 80% (Strong)

120 predictions

Match overview

Detailed match analysis for Lyn vs Stabaek after full time. The match ended 0-4 in Norway · 1. Division. Pre-match projections pointed to Draw with a marginal edge at 36.8%.

The main outcome missed, but several market signals were accurate. Several market indicators held up, while others were not confirmed by the match result. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (88.2%) came in as a clear statistical edge and was correctly identified.

Over 2.5 goals (34.1%) appeared as a marginal edge and did not land, both teams to score (61.1%) did not land. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 64.9% of matches across a sample of 165 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 57.5% in a sample of 40 team involvements.

Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. Used with league and team context, this post-match review supports clearer decision-making for upcoming fixtures.

LYN vs STABAEK

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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