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15 May 2026 16:00 UTC

SANDNES ULF vs EGERSUND

Final 4:2

Sandnes Ulf won Last goal: Sandnes Ulf

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Mathias Sundberg — Sandnes Ulf
⚽ Ole Sebastian Sundgot — Sandnes Ulf

2nd half

⚽ Jostein Ekeland — Egersund
⚽ Sander Saugestad — Sandnes Ulf
⚽ Nicolaj Tornvig — Egersund
⚽ Gullbrandur Øregaard — Sandnes Ulf

Model predictions were

39%

1X2

Sandnes Ulf

Result: Sandnes Ulf

62%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

85%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

56%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

65%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over

77%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over

Score

2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 37 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 227 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 181 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)

Both teams to score 60% (Good)

Total 1.5 80% (Strong)

Total 2.5 54% (Average)

Total 3.5 54% (Average)

Total 4.5 66% (Strong)

Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 29 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)

Both teams to score 52% (Average)

Total 1.5 69% (Strong)

Total 2.5 41% (Weak)

Total 3.5 66% (Strong)

Total 4.5 69% (Strong)

Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)

142 predictions

Both teams to score 64% (Good)

117 predictions

Total 1.5 90% (Strong)

155 predictions

Total 2.5 64% (Good)

121 predictions

Total 3.5 63% (Good)

106 predictions

Total 4.5 80% (Strong)

133 predictions

Match overview

Final result breakdown for Sandnes Ulf vs Egersund. The match ended 4-2 in Norway · 1. Division. Pre-match projections pointed to Sandnes Ulf with a marginal edge at 39.3%.

The final result matched the model’s primary prediction. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 65.8% of matches across a sample of 181 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 51.7% in a sample of 29 team involvements.

Market-level signals were consistent and accurate across the settled lines. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (85.2%) came in as a clear statistical edge and aligned with the result. Over 2.5 goals (56.4%) appeared as a balanced signal and was confirmed by the match.

Both teams to score (62.3%) aligned with the result. Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

SANDNES ULF vs EGERSUND

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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