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16 May 2026 14:00 UTC

STABAEK vs RAUFOSS

Final 1:2

Raufoss won Last goal: Stabaek

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Markus Aanesland — Raufoss
⚽ Alexander Achinioti Jonsson — Raufoss

2nd half

⚽ Sebastian Olderheim — Stabaek

Model predictions were

51%

1X2

Stabaek

Result: Raufoss

62%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

85%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

56%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

35%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under

77%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 72% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 18 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 228 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 182 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)

Both teams to score 60% (Good)

Total 1.5 80% (Strong)

Total 2.5 54% (Average)

Total 3.5 53% (Average)

Total 4.5 65% (Strong)

Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 45 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)

Both teams to score 51% (Average)

Total 1.5 87% (Strong)

Total 2.5 53% (Average)

Total 3.5 62% (Good)

Total 4.5 64% (Good)

Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)

143 predictions

Both teams to score 64% (Good)

118 predictions

Total 1.5 90% (Strong)

156 predictions

Total 2.5 65% (Good)

122 predictions

Total 3.5 40% (Weak)

75 predictions

Total 4.5 80% (Strong)

134 predictions

Match overview

Detailed match analysis for Stabaek vs Raufoss after full time. The match ended 1-2 in Norway · 1. Division. The model favored Stabaek with a marginal edge (50.8%).

The main outcome missed, but several market signals were accurate. Market-level signals were consistent and accurate across the settled lines. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (85.2%) appeared as a strong signal and held up in the final outcome.

Over 2.5 goals (56.4%) was identified as a fairly even projection and was correctly identified. Both teams to score (62.3%) held up in the final outcome. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 65.4% of matches across a sample of 182 games.

Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 51.1% in a sample of 45 team involvements. Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. This prediction analysis remains most effective when result context, market outcomes, and team tendencies are read together.

STABAEK vs RAUFOSS

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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