← Back to matches

Norway · 1. Division

16 May 2026 14:00 UTC

STROEMSGODSET vs RANHEIM

Final 5:4

Stroemsgodset won Last goal: Stroemsgodset

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Mikael Toerset Johnsen (penalty) — Ranheim

2nd half

  1. Mikael Toerset Johnsen — Ranheim
  2. Andreas Solstrand Fossli — Ranheim
  3. Sebastian Pingel — Stroemsgodset
  4. Herman Stengel (penalty) — Stroemsgodset
  5. Fredrik Ardraa — Stroemsgodset
  6. Jesper Taaje (own goal) — Ranheim
  7. Fredrik Ardraa — Stroemsgodset
  8. Marcus Johansen Mehnert — Stroemsgodset
  9. 🟥 Tage Bjoerdal Haukeberg (straight red) — Ranheim

Model predictions were

As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
34%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 14 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 228 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 182 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 65% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 28 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
143 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
64 predictions
Total 1.5 90% (Strong)
156 predictions
Total 2.5 32% (Weak)
60 predictions
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
107 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
134 predictions

Match overview