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16 May 2026 14:00 UTC

FK HAUGESUND vs AASANE

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Aasane

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Sory Diarra (penalty) — FK Haugesund
⚽ Kristoffer Barmen — Aasane

Model predictions were

37%

1X2

Aasane

Result: Draw

62%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

85%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

56%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under

37%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under

25%

Total 4.5

Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under

Score

2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 28 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 228 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 182 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)

Both teams to score 60% (Good)

Total 1.5 80% (Strong)

Total 2.5 54% (Average)

Total 3.5 53% (Average)

Total 4.5 65% (Strong)

Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 29 past matches

1X2 28% (Weak)

Both teams to score 66% (Strong)

Total 1.5 79% (Strong)

Total 2.5 45% (Weak)

Total 3.5 38% (Weak)

Total 4.5 52% (Average)

Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)

143 predictions

Both teams to score 64% (Good)

118 predictions

Total 1.5 90% (Strong)

156 predictions

Total 2.5 65% (Good)

122 predictions

Total 3.5 40% (Weak)

75 predictions

Total 4.5 25% (Weak)

48 predictions

Match overview

Final result breakdown for FK Haugesund vs Aasane. The match ended 1-1 in Norway · 1. Division. Pre-match projections pointed to Aasane with a low-confidence projection at 36.6%.

While the winner prediction missed, other signals held up well. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 65.4% of matches across a sample of 182 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 65.5% in a sample of 29 team involvements.

Market-level signals were partially accurate across the main goal-related markets. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (85.2%) appeared as a high-confidence indicator and aligned with the result. Over 2.5 goals (56.4%) appeared as a fairly even projection and did not land.

Both teams to score (62.3%) was confirmed by the match. Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. Used with league and team context, this post-match review supports clearer decision-making for upcoming fixtures.

FK HAUGESUND vs AASANE

Match timeline

1st half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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