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Italy · Serie C · Serie C Super Cup

16 May 2026 18:30 UTC

LR VICENZA vs BENEVENTO

Final 1:4

Benevento won Last goal: LR Vicenza

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Davide Lamesta — Benevento
  2. ⚽ Davide Lamesta — Benevento

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Francesco Paolo Salvemini — Benevento
  2. ⚽ Davide Lamesta — Benevento
  3. ⚽ Lorenzo Caferri — LR Vicenza

Model predictions were

As expected
39%
1X2
LR Vicenza
Result: Benevento
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
15%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 303 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,133 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1115 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 74 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
773 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
530 predictions
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
316 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
688 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
937 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
1045 predictions

Match overview

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