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Chile · Primera B

18 May 2026 23:00 UTC

UNION ESPANOLA vs DEPORTES IQUIQUE

Final 2:1

Union Espanola won Last goal: Union Espanola

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Agustín Venezia — Deportes Iquique

2nd half

  1. Sebastián Pereira — Union Espanola
  2. Andrés Vilches — Union Espanola
  3. 🟥 Agustín Venezia (straight red) — Deportes Iquique

Model predictions were

As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 23 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 249 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 210 completed matches.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 21 past matches

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 33% (Weak)
147 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
102 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
152 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
116 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
163 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
193 predictions

Match overview