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Argentina · Cup

22 May 2026 23:00 UTC

UNION vs INDEPENDIENTE

Final 0:2

Independiente won Last goal: Independiente

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Santiago Gabriel Montiel — Independiente
  2. 🟥 Maizon Rodríguez (2nd yellow) — Union
  3. ⚽ Maximiliano Gutiérrez — Independiente

Model predictions were

Big miss
51%
1X2
Union
Result: Independiente
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 69% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 13 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 61 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 51 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 47% (Average)
Total 2.5 35% (Weak)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 4 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 25% (Weak)
Total 2.5 25% (Weak)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 50% (Average)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
36 predictions
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
33 predictions
Total 1.5 24% (Weak)
25 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
38 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
48 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
50 predictions

Match overview

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