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30 May 2026 18:30 UTC

GIMNASIA JUJUY vs BELGRANO

Final 2:2

Belgrano won Last goal: Belgrano

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Francisco González Metilli — Belgrano
⚽ Martin Lazarte — Gimnasia Jujuy

2nd half

⚽ Francisco Molina — Gimnasia Jujuy
⚽ Emiliano Rigoni — Belgrano

Model predictions were

45%

1X2

Belgrano

Result: Belgrano

44%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

70%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

53%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

53%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over

86%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 2 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 62 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 52 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)

Both teams to score 54% (Average)

Total 1.5 46% (Average)

Total 2.5 37% (Weak)

Total 3.5 75% (Strong)

Total 4.5 87% (Strong)

Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 4 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 0% (Weak)

Both teams to score 75% (Strong)

Total 1.5 25% (Weak)

Total 2.5 25% (Weak)

Total 3.5 75% (Strong)

Total 4.5 100% (Strong)

Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)

37 predictions

Both teams to score 33% (Weak)

18 predictions

Total 1.5 69% (Strong)

26 predictions

Total 2.5 15% (Weak)

13 predictions

Total 3.5 0% (Weak)

3 predictions

Total 4.5 88% (Strong)

51 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Gimnasia Jujuy vs Belgrano. The match ended 2-2 in Argentina · Cup. The model leaned toward Belgrano with a low-confidence projection (45.3%).

The main outcome missed, but several market signals were accurate. Market-level signals were consistent and accurate across the settled lines. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (70.1%) was identified as a clear statistical edge and was confirmed by the match.

Over 2.5 goals (52.5%) aligned with the result, both teams to score (44.3%) held up in the final outcome. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 86.5% of matches across a sample of 52 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 75% in a sample of 4 team involvements.

The model output remains a useful reference when combined with match context. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

GIMNASIA JUJUY vs BELGRANO

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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