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Argentina · Cup

30 May 2026 21:00 UTC

INSTITUTO vs LANUS

Final 2:1

Instituto won Last goal: Instituto

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jhon Córdoba — Instituto

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Fernando Alarcón (2nd yellow) — Instituto
  2. 🟥 Carlos Izquierdoz (2nd yellow) — Lanus
  3. ⚽ Lucas Besozzi — Lanus
  4. 🟥 Hernán de la Fuente (2nd yellow) — Instituto
  5. ⚽ Jeremías Lázaro — Instituto
  6. 🟥 Lucas Besozzi (straight red) — Lanus

Model predictions were

On point
51%
1X2
Instituto
Result: Instituto
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 75% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 4 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 62 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 52 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 46% (Average)
Total 2.5 37% (Weak)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 4 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
37 predictions
Both teams to score 65% (Good)
34 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
26 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
39 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
49 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
51 predictions

Match overview

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