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Spain · Primera Division RFEF · Primera Federacion - Group 2

23 May 2026 16:30 UTC

ATLETICO MADRILENO vs ALGECIRAS

Final 3:1

Atletico Madrileno won Last goal: Algeciras

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Martin Bellotti — Atletico Madrileno
  2. ⚽ Koke — Atletico Madrileno
  3. ⚽ Rafa Llorente — Atletico Madrileno
  4. ⚽ Óscar Castro — Algeciras

Model predictions were

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
Result: Atletico Madrileno
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 221 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 750 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 726 completed matches.

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 48% (Average)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 30% (Weak)
221 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
352 predictions
Total 1.5 34% (Weak)
225 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
441 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
602 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
675 predictions

Match overview

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