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Spain · Primera Division RFEF · Primera Federacion - Group 2

23 May 2026 16:30 UTC

CE EUROPA vs UD IBIZA

Final 3:2

CE Europa won Last goal: CE Europa

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jordi Cano — CE Europa
  2. ⚽ Jordi Cano — CE Europa
  3. ⚽ Fran Castillo — UD Ibiza

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Unai Medina — UD Ibiza
  2. ⚽ Oscar Vacas — CE Europa

Model predictions were

Solid call
45%
1X2
CE Europa
Result: CE Europa
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
6%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 54% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 26 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 750 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 726 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 72 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 36% (Weak)
505 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
352 predictions
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
501 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
285 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
602 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
675 predictions

Match overview

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