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Spain · Primera Division RFEF · Primera Federacion - Group 2

24 May 2026 16:00 UTC

REAL MURCIA vs ELDENSE

Final 3:0

Real Murcia won Last goal: Real Murcia

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Pedro Benito — Real Murcia
  2. ⚽ Joel Jorquera — Real Murcia

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Álvaro Bustos — Real Murcia

Model predictions were

Off target
40%
1X2
Eldense
Result: Real Murcia
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
16%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 44 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 768 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 744 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 73 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 16% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
517 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
381 predictions
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
509 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
291 predictions
Total 3.5 28% (Weak)
127 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
692 predictions

Match overview

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