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31 May 2026 16:30 UTC

REAL ZARAGOZA vs MALAGA

Final 0:2

Malaga won Last goal: Malaga

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Chupe — Malaga

2nd half

⚽ Chupe (penalty) — Malaga

Model predictions were

39%

1X2

Malaga

Result: Malaga

48%

Both teams to score

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No

74%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

51%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under

31%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under

86%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

11%

Score

0:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-4; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 2 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 458 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 444 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)

Both teams to score 52% (Average)

Total 1.5 61% (Good)

Total 2.5 55% (Average)

Total 3.5 64% (Good)

Total 4.5 79% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 79 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)

Both teams to score 56% (Good)

Total 1.5 61% (Good)

Total 2.5 56% (Good)

Total 3.5 68% (Strong)

Total 4.5 78% (Strong)

Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)

326 predictions

Both teams to score 46% (Average)

192 predictions

Total 1.5 73% (Strong)

321 predictions

Total 2.5 55% (Average)

200 predictions

Total 3.5 30% (Weak)

99 predictions

Total 4.5 86% (Strong)

405 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Real Zaragoza vs Malaga. The match ended 0-2 in Spain · Segunda División · LaLiga2. The model favored Malaga with a weak indicator (39.3%).

The outcome aligned with the model’s expectation. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 79.1% of matches across a sample of 444 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 55.7% in a sample of 79 team involvements.

Several market indicators held up, while others were not confirmed by the match result. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (74.4%) was identified as a strong signal and held up in the final outcome. Over 2.5 goals (51.4%) appeared as a marginal edge and did not match the outcome.

Both teams to score (48.2%) aligned with the result. Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

REAL ZARAGOZA vs MALAGA

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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