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Spain · Segunda División · LaLiga2

30 May 2026 19:00 UTC

GRANADA vs SPORTING GIJON

Final 1:2

Sporting Gijon won Last goal: Sporting Gijon

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ José Arnáiz — Granada
  2. ⚽ Diego Hormigo (own goal) — Sporting Gijon

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Brian Oliván — Sporting Gijon

Model predictions were

Nice call
37%
1X2
Sporting Gijon
Result: Sporting Gijon
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 25% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 83 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 455 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 441 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 79 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
323 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
190 predictions
Total 1.5 32% (Weak)
121 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
242 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
342 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
402 predictions

Match overview

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