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Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Intermedio Grp. B

05 Jun 2026 22:00 UTC

MONTEVIDEO WANDERERS vs DANUBIO

Final 0:0

Draw

Model predictions were

37%

1X2

Montevideo Wanderers

Result: Draw

48%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No

70%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under

45%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under

28%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under

89%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 28 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 299 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 248 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)

Both teams to score 52% (Average)

Total 1.5 54% (Average)

Total 2.5 51% (Average)

Total 3.5 74% (Strong)

Total 4.5 91% (Strong)

Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 56 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)

Both teams to score 52% (Average)

Total 1.5 54% (Average)

Total 2.5 48% (Average)

Total 3.5 75% (Strong)

Total 4.5 91% (Strong)

Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)

177 predictions

Both teams to score 49% (Average)

109 predictions

Total 1.5 67% (Strong)

154 predictions

Total 2.5 44% (Weak)

93 predictions

Total 3.5 24% (Weak)

25 predictions

Total 4.5 93% (Strong)

243 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Montevideo Wanderers vs Danubio. The match ended 0-0 in Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Intermedio Grp. B. The model favored Montevideo Wanderers with a marginal edge (36.6%).

The model’s main outcome call did not land. Market-level signals were less accurate than expected in this specific match profile. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (70.1%) appeared as a clear statistical edge and fell short of the result.

Over 2.5 goals (44.6%) was not confirmed, both teams to score (48.2%) fell short of the result. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 91.1% of matches across a sample of 248 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 51.8% in a sample of 56 team involvements.

The model output remains a useful reference when combined with match context. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

MONTEVIDEO WANDERERS vs DANUBIO

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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