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Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Intermedio Grp. B

06 Jun 2026 18:00 UTC

MONTEVIDEO CITY TORQUE vs DEPORTIVO MALDONADO

Final 2:4

Deportivo Maldonado won Last goal: Montevideo City Torque

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Salomón Rodríguez — Montevideo City Torque
  2. ⚽ Santiago Ramírez — Deportivo Maldonado
  3. ⚽ Santiago Ramírez — Deportivo Maldonado

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Renato Cesar — Deportivo Maldonado
  2. ⚽ Facundo Tealde — Deportivo Maldonado
  3. ⚽ Franco Pizzichillo — Montevideo City Torque

Model predictions were

As expected
39%
1X2
Montevideo City Torque
Result: Deportivo Maldonado
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
13%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 77 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 300 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 249 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 48 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
178 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
110 predictions
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
155 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
94 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
223 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
244 predictions

Match overview

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