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Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Intermedio Grp. A

07 Jun 2026 18:00 UTC

CERRO vs CLUB ATLETICO PENAROL

Model prediction

Weak
37%
1X2
Cerro
Weak
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Risky
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Weak
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Good
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 78 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 303 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 252 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 55% (Average)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 62 past matches

1X2 27% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
180 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
139 predictions
Total 1.5 34% (Weak)
94 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
156 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
226 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
247 predictions

Match preview

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