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Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Intermedio Grp. B

06 Jun 2026 21:30 UTC

NACIONAL vs JUVENTUD DE LAS PIEDRAS

Final 2:1

Nacional won Last goal: Nacional

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Bruno Larregui — Juventud de las Piedras

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Tomas Viera (straight red) — Nacional
  2. ⚽ Emiliano Ancheta — Nacional
  3. ⚽ Luciano Boggio — Nacional

Model predictions were

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
Result: Nacional
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 71 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 300 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 249 completed matches.

1X2 23% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 47% (Average)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 23% (Weak)
71 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
110 predictions
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
155 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
155 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
223 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
244 predictions

Match overview

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