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Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura

11 Apr 2026 13:00 UTC

MONTEVIDEO CITY TORQUE vs ALBION

Final 0:1 Almanac Moment

Albion won

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Francisco Ginella — Albion
🟥 Valentino Wurth — Montevideo City Torque

Model predictions were

37%

1X2

Albion

Result: Albion

57%

Both teams to score

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No

32%

Total 1.5

Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under

51%

Total 2.5

Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under

73%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

89%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 36 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 247 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 198 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)

Both teams to score 53% (Average)

Total 1.5 53% (Average)

Total 2.5 48% (Average)

Total 3.5 72% (Strong)

Total 4.5 92% (Strong)

Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 35 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)

Both teams to score 60% (Good)

Total 1.5 57% (Good)

Total 2.5 46% (Average)

Total 3.5 57% (Good)

Total 4.5 89% (Strong)

Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)

137 predictions

Both teams to score 59% (Good)

107 predictions

Total 1.5 35% (Weak)

78 predictions

Total 2.5 54% (Average)

127 predictions

Total 3.5 78% (Strong)

176 predictions

Total 4.5 94% (Strong)

194 predictions

Match overview

Detailed match analysis for Montevideo City Torque vs Albion after full time. The match ended 0-1 in Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura. The model favored Albion with a weak indicator (36.6%).

The final result matched the model’s primary prediction. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 92.4% of matches across a sample of 198 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 60% in a sample of 35 team involvements.

Market-level signals were consistent and accurate across the settled lines. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (31.9%) was identified as a weak indicator and held up in the final outcome. Over 2.5 goals (51.4%) was correctly identified, both teams to score (56.7%) aligned with the result.

The model output remains a useful reference when combined with match context. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

MONTEVIDEO CITY TORQUE vs ALBION

Match timeline

1st half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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