DEPORTIVO MALDONADO vs NACIONAL
Model Context
Match prediction context
Probability in similar matches
21% (Weak)
How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).
Based on 61 past matches with this goal margin in this league.
Draw likelihood
27% (Typical)
Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.
Based on 247 finished matches in this league.
League
Historical model performance in this league before this match date.
Based on 198 completed matches.
1X2
21% (Weak)
Both teams to score
53% (Average)
Total 1.5
53% (Average)
Total 2.5
48% (Average)
Total 3.5
72% (Strong)
Total 4.5
92% (Strong)
Score
8% (Weak)
Teams
This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.
Based on 36 past matches
1X2
39% (Weak)
Both teams to score
56% (Good)
Total 1.5
58% (Good)
Total 2.5
42% (Weak)
Total 3.5
67% (Strong)
Total 4.5
92% (Strong)
Score
14% (Good)
Markets
This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.
1X2
21% (Weak)
61 predictions
Both teams to score
46% (Average)
91 predictions
Total 1.5
64% (Good)
120 predictions
Total 2.5
54% (Average)
127 predictions
Total 3.5
78% (Strong)
176 predictions
Total 4.5
94% (Strong)
194 predictions