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Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura

25 Apr 2026 15:00 UTC

JUVENTUD DE LAS PIEDRAS vs LIVERPOOL FC

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Liverpool FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Ramiro Peralta — Juventud de las Piedras

2nd half

  1. Diego Romero — Liverpool FC

Model predictions were

As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 37 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 260 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 210 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 51 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
143 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
115 predictions
Total 1.5 35% (Weak)
82 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
136 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
187 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
205 predictions

Match overview