MONTEVIDEO WANDERERS vs CLUB ATLETICO PENAROL
Model Context
Match prediction context
Probability in similar matches
33% (Weak)
How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).
Based on 21 past matches with this goal margin in this league.
Draw likelihood
28% (Typical)
Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.
Based on 263 finished matches in this league.
League
Historical model performance in this league before this match date.
Based on 213 completed matches.
1X2
38% (Weak)
Both teams to score
52% (Average)
Total 1.5
54% (Average)
Total 2.5
50% (Average)
Total 3.5
73% (Strong)
Total 4.5
92% (Strong)
Score
9% (Weak)
Teams
This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.
Based on 53 past matches
1X2
36% (Weak)
Both teams to score
49% (Average)
Total 1.5
45% (Average)
Total 2.5
36% (Weak)
Total 3.5
72% (Strong)
Total 4.5
92% (Strong)
Score
4% (Risky)
Markets
This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.
1X2
38% (Weak)
146 predictions
Both teams to score
56% (Good)
117 predictions
Total 1.5
66% (Strong)
130 predictions
Total 2.5
55% (Good)
137 predictions
Total 3.5
79% (Strong)
190 predictions
Total 4.5
93% (Strong)
208 predictions