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Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura

26 Apr 2026 13:00 UTC

CENTRAL ESPANOL vs CERRO

Final 3:1

Central Espanol won Last goal: Central Espanol

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Máximo Alonso — Central Espanol
  2. ⚽ Nacho Rodríguez (own goal) — Cerro
  3. 🟥 Luciano Fernandez (straight red) — Central Espanol
  4. ⚽ Raul Tarragona (penalty) — Central Espanol

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Alejo Macelli (2nd yellow) — Cerro
  2. ⚽ Diego Vera (penalty) — Central Espanol

Model predictions were

As expected
37%
1X2
Cerro
Result: Central Espanol
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 39 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 263 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 213 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 36 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
146 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
96 predictions
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
130 predictions
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
76 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
190 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
208 predictions

Match overview

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No prediction yet
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1X2 Prediction is being generated.
Both teams to score —
Over/Under
1.5 — 2.5 — 3.5 — 4.5 —
Score — : —