DEFENSOR SPORTING vs CLUB ATLETICO PROGRESO
Model Context
Match prediction context
Probability in similar matches
24% (Weak)
How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).
Based on 67 past matches with this goal margin in this league.
Draw likelihood
28% (Typical)
Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.
Based on 265 finished matches in this league.
League
Historical model performance in this league before this match date.
Based on 215 completed matches.
1X2
24% (Weak)
Both teams to score
52% (Average)
Total 1.5
54% (Average)
Total 2.5
50% (Average)
Total 3.5
73% (Strong)
Total 4.5
92% (Strong)
Score
9% (Weak)
Teams
This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.
Based on 53 past matches
1X2
34% (Weak)
Both teams to score
49% (Average)
Total 1.5
49% (Average)
Total 2.5
58% (Good)
Total 3.5
75% (Strong)
Total 4.5
94% (Strong)
Score
17% (Good)
Markets
This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.
1X2
24% (Weak)
67 predictions
Both teams to score
47% (Average)
98 predictions
Total 1.5
66% (Strong)
132 predictions
Total 2.5
41% (Weak)
78 predictions
Total 3.5
22% (Weak)
23 predictions
Total 4.5
93% (Strong)
210 predictions