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Italy · Serie C · Serie C Promotion Playoff

03 May 2026 18:00 UTC

LUMEZZANE vs ALCIONE

Final 0:0

Draw

Model predictions were

39%

1X2

Alcione

Result: Draw

54%

Both teams to score

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No

70%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under

45%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under

28%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under

89%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

12%

Score

0:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-4; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 4 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,106 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1094 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)

Both teams to score 51% (Average)

Total 1.5 59% (Good)

Total 2.5 53% (Average)

Total 3.5 71% (Strong)

Total 4.5 87% (Strong)

Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 73 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)

Both teams to score 48% (Average)

Total 1.5 48% (Average)

Total 2.5 51% (Average)

Total 3.5 77% (Strong)

Total 4.5 90% (Strong)

Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)

754 predictions

Both teams to score 51% (Average)

517 predictions

Total 1.5 69% (Strong)

782 predictions

Total 2.5 44% (Weak)

418 predictions

Total 3.5 23% (Weak)

175 predictions

Total 4.5 92% (Strong)

1025 predictions

Match overview

Detailed match analysis for Lumezzane vs Alcione after full time. The match ended 0-0 in Italy · Serie C · Serie C Promotion Playoff. The model favored Alcione with a weak indicator (39.3%).

While the winner prediction missed, other signals held up well. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common. With over 4.5 goals appearing in 87.3% of matches across a sample of 1,094 games.

Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 48% in a sample of 73 team involvements. Market-level signals were partially accurate across the main goal-related markets. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (70.1%) was identified as a high-confidence indicator and was not confirmed.

Over 2.5 goals (44.6%) fell short of the result, both teams to score (53.6%) aligned with the result. Overall, the statistical signals still provided useful context for interpreting the match. Used with league and team context, this post-match review supports clearer decision-making for upcoming fixtures.

LUMEZZANE vs ALCIONE

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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