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Italy · Serie C · Serie C Promotion Playoff

03 May 2026 18:00 UTC

CASERTANA vs ATALANTA U23

Final 1:0

Casertana won Last goal: Casertana

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Coli Saco — Casertana

Model predictions were

Nice call
39%
1X2
Casertana
Result: Casertana
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 298 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,106 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1094 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 72 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
754 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
577 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
782 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
418 predictions
Total 3.5 23% (Weak)
175 predictions
Total 4.5 12% (Weak)
69 predictions

Match overview

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