← Back to matches

Italy · Serie C · Serie C Promotion Playoff

10 May 2026 18:00 UTC

CASARANO vs RENATE

Final 0:2

Renate won Last goal: Renate

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Óttar Karlsson — Renate
  2. ⚽ Óttar Karlsson — Renate

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Jonathan Spedalieri (straight red) — Renate

Model predictions were

As expected
39%
1X2
Casarano
Result: Renate
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
14%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 146 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,123 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1105 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 77 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
765 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
580 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
791 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
423 predictions
Total 3.5 23% (Weak)
177 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
1035 predictions

Match overview

Related matches

Finished
10 May 18:00 UTC
Campobasso vs Potenza
1X2 Away
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 0:3
Finished
10 May 18:15 UTC
Pianese vs Lecco
1X2 Draw
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 1:1
Finished
10 May 18:45 UTC
Cittadella vs Ravenna
1X2 Draw
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Over 4.5 Under
Score 2:2
Finished
10 May 19:00 UTC
Casertana vs Salernitana
1X2 Away
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Over 4.5 Over
Score 2:3
Almanac Moment
09 May 18:30 UTC
Benevento vs S.S. Arezzo
1X2 Home
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Under 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 1:0
Finished
09 May 16:00 UTC
Bra vs Torres
1X2 Away
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Under 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 0:1
Finished
13 May 18:00 UTC
Renate vs Casarano
1X2 Away
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 0:3
Almanac Moment
13 May 18:00 UTC
Lecco vs Pianese
1X2 Draw
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 1:1