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Italy · Serie C · Serie C Promotion Playoff

10 May 2026 18:45 UTC

CITTADELLA vs RAVENNA

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Ravenna

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Alessio Vita — Cittadella
  2. ⚽ Simone Rabbi — Cittadella

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Bani — Ravenna
  2. ⚽ Fischnaller (penalty) — Ravenna

Model predictions were

As expected
39%
1X2
Cittadella
Result: Draw
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 301 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,123 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1105 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 75 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 45% (Average)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
765 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
580 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
791 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
423 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
928 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
1035 predictions

Match overview

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